TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfb24…ac2cbacked Yes24c1,582$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.751258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes22c1,500$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.0419643.4%85 W · 111 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes35c894.97$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.1916544.2%73 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No69c764.45$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.32378.1%3 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-86.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No78c548$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.448831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c325.71$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.28740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No65c314.46$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.6310739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No45c224.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3866914.8%99 W · 570 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-66%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No63c181.8$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8534333.5%115 W · 228 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No73c180$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.431534%107 W · 208 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No66c174.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9817140.4%69 W · 102 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed No75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1134146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No77c150$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.54639.1%18 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No60c142.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.224850%24 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No46c128$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4312643.7%55 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c14…0869backed Yes77c121.18$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8710740.2%43 W · 64 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No59c120.29$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2810048%48 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed No77c120$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.42425%6 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No64c115.28$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2612545.6%57 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No72c115.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6518026.1%47 W · 133 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No66c111.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2313647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes35c107$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.556235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes67c105$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.82263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed No79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6713143.5%57 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…ccd0backed No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.52657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5c…767bbacked No79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb1…0f6ebacked No79c100$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…5ea2backed No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes24c99.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.198741.4%36 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1452…449cbacked No57c96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.72825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No66c92$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.610947.7%52 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No77c91.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2724831%77 W · 171 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Yes35c88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb65…103fbacked Yes28c86.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+107.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f2…38efbacked No70c84.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.774330.2%13 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-51.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes34c82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1219631.1%61 W · 135 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c04…c81abacked No73c80$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x907c…23c1backed No78c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No65c75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.757035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-40.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Yes24c72.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.311560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed No65c70.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.759819.4%19 W · 79 L-10.3wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No76c66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.168541.2%35 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ad…28cbbacked No77c64.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+117.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ef…131ebacked No77c64.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9bf…3eb6backed No77c64.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…209abacked Yes34c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes29c58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.464546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes33c57.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes22c56.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2822948.9%112 W · 117 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb90f…b7c8backed Yes30c54.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes37c51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.23948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2816020.6%33 W · 127 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5a86backed No79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2e…0873backed No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.0wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd62b…ceecbacked No79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes35c43.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.021145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No77c41.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.734531.1%14 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No64c40.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.235255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f4b…6b9dbacked No64c40.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9621033.3%70 W · 140 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No68c37.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.243345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes35c32.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.393756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No80c31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.845035.1%158 W · 292 L-37.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x628a…6895backed No78c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.18366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes40c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4520542%86 W · 119 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No66c27.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.478638.4%33 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb119…680bbacked No68c27.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa047…4ffabacked No61c25.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No65c25.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3712049.2%59 W · 61 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.958258.5%48 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…97c1backed No78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x399d…e294backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e03…beaabacked No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f3…1202backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e0…559abacked No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c6…d465backed No77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.