Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x787afdd4215ac4b22ec38bf579154f3dd599dda6f39eb34fdf2f6faf0f16d9e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 37c | 1,671$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.24 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 56c | 771.47$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.51 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 54c | 430.73$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.94 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f3…87ebbacked Yes | 71c | 420$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…c5e3backed Yes | 31c | 388.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 65c | 380.22$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 66c | 346.89$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.61 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed No | 32c | 337$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 315$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 34c | 311.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.18 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 67c | 305.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 27c | 304.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 300$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 38c | 205.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…04a2backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…7c3bbacked No | 44c | 198.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 64c | 185.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 35c | 183.54$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 32c | 181$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 54c | 180.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 49c | 166.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 34c | 147.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 107 | 22.4%24 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 39c | 142.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 33c | 131.19$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 63c | 122$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 64c | 112.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 34c | 109.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda30…74dbbacked No | 37c | 103.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 50c | 102.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…7851backed Yes | 63c | 97.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 96.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…b615backed Yes | 62c | 96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 34c | 92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked No | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 64c | 89.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 80.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 47c | 78.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 65c | 76.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 34c | 75.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 98 | 19.4%19 W · 79 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 28c | 70.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 64c | 63.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…21b9backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed No | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 61c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 43c | 54.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 62c | 54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed No | 37c | 52.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…0873backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…0a70backed Yes | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 60c | 46.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 34c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 34c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 35c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 33c | 40.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…089fbacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…eb8cbacked No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +151.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 59c | 39.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 35c | 39.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 31c | 37.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 37c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 37c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed No | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 67c | 33.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…3024backed No | 34c | 31.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…d74fbacked No | 40c | 31.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…cfbdbacked Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…3f16backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…864bbacked Yes | 62c | 29.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…449cbacked Yes | 53c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1872backed Yes | 67c | 20.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…e294backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…0e12backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…c62fbacked Yes | 67c | 18.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 68c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 65c | 16.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…3b18backed Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?this page
- Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.