TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes34c1,660$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.2848961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed No67c700$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4693447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No43c484.02$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3276445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa970…d60dbacked No65c198.32$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked No66c138.64$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.56141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd46…e514backed No65c123.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes79c106.4$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0817249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed No66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No66c91.02$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0718641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No66c72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5266239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x998b…db96backed No18c65.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8224.5%1 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0748140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes36c31.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.462,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes59c31.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No66c31.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.594045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x269f…5c62backed No66c31.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.541855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed No65c30.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.543342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca08…c267backed Yes36c29.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.611758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed No66c28.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.523850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf52…55d6backed No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f20…eca7backed No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.250%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.211748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.821850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd0c6…d465backed No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.