TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,756
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,756 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes27c1,669$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.3448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes28c549.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.517249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes32c339.88$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.838647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No73c329.22$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.247045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No73c240$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.21,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No73c129$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1711038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed No73c114.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9413641.2%56 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No63c108.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4334151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No72c99.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9948140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed No67c99.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.998544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No57c80.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6335958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No60c72.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.554450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x998b…db96backed No24c66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84224.5%1 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick23cpaid-89.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.28936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No72c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.676445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49f…3408backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No74c53.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.716847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No67c52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8466239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa315…3365backed Yes38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes36c45.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked No73c42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.458043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes41c40.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5342737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No76c39.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8321944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed No73c38.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.133850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x269f…5c62backed No73c35.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.931855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No73c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5216333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf52…55d6backed No73c21.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No73c21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3319445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec4…cfc8backed No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4bc…f7b0backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5677…e915backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…8c39backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ff…8bd4backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4f…4cfebacked No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…bc45backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfc…36dfbacked No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96a4…d9f7backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.65050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44b…f081backed No74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5221…1216backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de7…11f8backed No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee47…6f4ebacked No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No72c14.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4521850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No76c14.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.