TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No34c1,041$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.0676445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes59c838.96$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.0348961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes70c459.99$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7917249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19834151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes73c208.88$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.397441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13655044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed No31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1388544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes67c144.9$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5623357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b62…9e91backed Yes67c140.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes17c125.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.948647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes67c125$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7513148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6717652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No16c94.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked No38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.88936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No31c61.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6335954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac0…0cebbacked Yes67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Yes69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.741225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes52c44.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9916847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-80.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.942737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x900e…a4d3backed Yes68c24.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.998345.8%38 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No47c24.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1718641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf5…606bbacked Yes67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.648140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes66c15.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed Yes71c15.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.