TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x269f…5c62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.98
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$106.76
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$68.62
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$71.86
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.03
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.85
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$53
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.79
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.51
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.64
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$228.86
Will the announcers say "Freedom" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.36
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the announcers say "Record" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.18
Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.93
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will the announcers say "Hattrick / Hat Trick" during the Spain vs Saudi Arabia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.8
Will the announcers say "History" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.54
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.48
Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$362.97
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$102.06
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.88
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.71
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.52
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.83
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$34.72
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32.74
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.2
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.87
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.11
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.12
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.66
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+84.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$24.42
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.