WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x779568c5b23a21c13d1adf7a773b0483102a0bc26bbd995482f3da9f866d8dfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 15,345$7,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,825.75 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 49c | 12,900$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,579 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Under | 4c | 12,372$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 0c | 10,049$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over | 48c | 1,973$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,825$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.75 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 49c | 1,711$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.84 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 1,220$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 938.93$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.57 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 45c | 786.41$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…204dbacked Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Over | 51c | 669.92$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.26 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 583.92$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.8 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 578.71$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 51c | 578.43$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 564.77$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 78c | 304.25$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 300.62$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 73c | 272.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…d56abacked Over | 50c | 269.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 260.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 52c | 192.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…02e1backed Over | 49c | 189.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…0a91backed Under | 45c | 136.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 48c | 121.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Under | 44c | 102.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Over | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 51.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 44.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269f…5c62backed Under | 51c | 37.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Over | 51c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 51c | 29.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 49c | 26.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 20.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 51c | 19.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles SparksDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-0.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.