WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb5a657a806490b9c4d2bafd46f573ed9616fba41ab3a01925943e1d1e002a16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 5,760$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.8 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 4,364$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.14 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Sparks | 59c | 1,605$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.88 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 1,426$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.93 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,092$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.72 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,057$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.64 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 346.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Sparks | 61c | 278.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 62c | 254.04$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 218.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.01 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 212.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 193.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 152.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 65c | 144.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 61c | 138.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.22 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Dallas Wings | 30c | 132.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Sparks | 63c | 84.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Dallas Wings | 33c | 77.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Los Angeles Sparks | 70c | 67.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 70c | 55.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…0d79backed Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e54…291dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…bc79backed Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 42.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 42.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2191…a79cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 41.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…5ac7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 41.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 41.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…2546backed Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…6431backed Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…7938backed Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 41.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…bfc3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 40.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x412c…6a5cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 70c | 35.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…f50ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…8dc2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 71c | 28.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911c…db17backed Los Angeles Sparks | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 24.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 22.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Dallas Wings | 60c | 19.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles SparksDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-0.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.