WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa62c58c28b6463769692509335552ab3323a0c17948df9e996265c80512d8e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 4,285$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.91 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 4,192$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.24 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 2,328$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.03 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 2,280$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.98 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 1,825$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.92 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 265$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks | 55c | 179$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 177.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 116.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 68.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 65.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 58.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 56.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 54.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 50.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 44.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 32.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 32.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 32.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 30.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dallas Wings | 42c | 28.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 21.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 60c | 19.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…d77abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 57c | 18.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles SparksDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 170.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 171.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-0.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.