TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "History" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,665
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,665 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No24c1,316$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes76c1,036$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.927045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked No23c1,027$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.943823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes73c579$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.339743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes72c426.95$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.372588%22 W · 3 L+5.7wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+53.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No33c215$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6517249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6055044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c149.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.632,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes78c126$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7211038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Yes69c123.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.15545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes76c115.35$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No23c83.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1931520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes76c81.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6818641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked No31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes78c78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1613148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3db…bba6backed Yes76c63.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Yes78c62.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.868043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No25c61.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6711256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3024037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes76c54.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0645736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…2a24backed Yes76c51.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Yes76c50.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.245050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x269f…5c62backed Yes77c50.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.541855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fb…b650backed Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.356839.7%27 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a1…ddbcbacked Yes67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked Yes77c49.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.384045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.816847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea9b…8cebbacked Yes73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ad…39c6backed Yes79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.34965.3%32 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f92…ecc7backed Yes76c28.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.873231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes55c24.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.186160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes74c23.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes79c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4161752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa6…3c12backed Yes76c20.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.97875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34b0…05a6backed Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15f7…f0c4backed Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…fcffbacked Yes79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb073…54fbbacked Yes77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e3…6867backed Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661a…e9e8backed No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2247…cc54backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb720…15e5backed Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb58…c62ebacked Yes78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes74c17.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.512,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.