TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$464,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$489,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No59c30,464$17,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,485.814,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes35c24,333$8,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,423.622,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes19c10,508$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.8320044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes73c9,587$7,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,011.3422448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c8,889$4,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,618.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47b…7b14backed Yes51c8,653$4,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,393.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No50c8,276$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.533557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c7,815$5,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No50c7,346$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96dd…2646backed Yes54c7,285$3,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,933.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes21c6,944$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.0611820.3%24 W · 94 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes30c6,186$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.9417544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No59c6,090$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,508.5474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91e4…b351backed No53c5,575$2,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5019…7d1fbacked Yes47c5,071$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes49c5,000$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.755538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes18c4,827$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.9841968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4d56…c0d8backed Yes47c4,823$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed No21c4,505$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,558.955236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes51c4,435$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.6241451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No49c4,394$2,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.941,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2757…d73cbacked No53c4,277$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked No46c4,130$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.164327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes50c4,070$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03521048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c3,763$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.631,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No48c3,230$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.213643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No28c3,173$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27db…3824backed No48c3,172$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.297353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Yes55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81bc…fcfabacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.8523255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No50c2,987$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.1112266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Yes46c2,349$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.9510152.5%53 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No59c2,287$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.8256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes17c2,190$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.221,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes52c2,154$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12013843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e21…9e3bbacked Yes53c2,017$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.97560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9811654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No60c1,969$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.3216150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed No46c1,830$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.716349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes30c1,804$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.6819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Yes34c1,757$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c1,683$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.961,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.9836250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes40c1,534$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.147842.3%33 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No59c1,526$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.7363151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No20c1,500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c1,442$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.734,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes52c1,406$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.0835549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No21c1,385$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.1815932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f9…c08cbacked Yes3c1,356$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No49c1,322$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.2624448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb3…16c3backed Yes4c1,308$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes50c1,298$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.223,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes77c1,181$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.74858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Yes51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes47c1,164$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.241,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36e4…0779backed No19c1,069$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+167.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.168355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No80c1,036$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.261926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes57c1,029$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5817513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No50c1,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3911167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes78c1,000$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.9321166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Yes51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.996055%33 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No49c986$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.864955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No5c960.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.4134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd313…ca4abacked Yes47c942.3$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.882240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No3c936.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.9338819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No78c933.5$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5436437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No48c909.96$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1826454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes11c906.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.539219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No50c902$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45110366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45014061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No50c870$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43517747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Yes52c863.19$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.88250%41 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…c6b3backed No71c849.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.351788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No12c816.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.4430117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed No69c807.5$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.331250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes75c806.08$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.121,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No30c779.69$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.2985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes57c761.66$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.068445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes54c740.84$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.363,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Yes33c733.14$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.653228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+85.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes50c712$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.212825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c710.32$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.541,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked No71c706.14$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7812248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes57c703.14$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Yes22c681$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8213552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No52c662.28$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.961,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31c…642bbacked Yes51c656.35$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc616…3571backed Yes78c654.53$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.995257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2adc…0afabacked Yes80c621.73$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.381553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.