TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,018 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec56…1816backed No72c5,822$4,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,168.8984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No76c5,707$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.461,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No72c2,847$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.495669.6%39 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked No73c2,230$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.8921046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c2,120$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.143,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dba…dc6dbacked Yes28c2,027$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46010539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Yes26c1,872$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.2511654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes28c1,794$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.8265835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked No74c1,722$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.174327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Yes28c1,650$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.7261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No79c1,572$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.992,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes35c1,322$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.3993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c1,051$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c1,012$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes28c809.04$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.046839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes16c681.63$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.5744435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes59c678.58$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.2232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No53c667.94$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0541968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x471c…b252backed Yes16c604.53$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.194856.3%27 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No30c588.15$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2817513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes21c578.57$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.5710525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c550.09$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.063,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.658543.5%37 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes26c499.95$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9723729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes27c462$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.268549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No73c448.09$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes18c436.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.912631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No72c373.65$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7915932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No41c365$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6513552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1412241%50 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No18c350$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.171,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f9…b000backed Yes29c336.72$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7210131.7%32 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes25c317.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1469744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes20c307$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.393,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f2…5bbebacked Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+99.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes24c232.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.868528.2%24 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf316…1e44backed Yes29c231.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.453327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No70c196.46$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.032,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5014…538ebacked No74c186$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.641540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes13c183.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5324533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c183.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f83…0e8dbacked No74c179$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.368256.1%46 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.416333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4110541.9%44 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes28c155.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.198021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0255…4eb0backed Yes27c148.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9212263.9%78 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c7…5864backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.152040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.861,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes29c137.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9339648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No63c134$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7751250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes27c130.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2825031.6%79 W · 171 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6e…3288backed No74c125$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Yes8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1159541.1%39 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes37c117$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.713429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes16c114$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2498439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes16c112.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.52733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89f…583ebacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.112634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes24c106.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6414647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a03…0b5ebacked No41c106.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5e…e107backed Yes22c102.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.37736.4%28 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes25c99.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5215240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes19c92.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes19c92.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6135549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No73c89.81$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5623345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No73c75.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0681554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0713148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0726133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0710718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddf…2077backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.075547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x648d…2d10backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x848f…9cdabacked No73c64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7210545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No65c61.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5527538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c59.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5845039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No72c58.49$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.112,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa0…ac5cbacked Yes28c57.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+157.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c55.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.131,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed No41c54.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.451020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked No72c54.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.026958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b62…1fe9backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.571625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+116.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No73c52.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5925454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…b863backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7216131.7%51 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed No41c48.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7324840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c46.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9445947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed No41c45.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.561747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3713…96c6backed Yes27c44.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.443228.1%9 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+85.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3861…7313backed Yes48c43.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+113.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked No72c43$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.969854.1%53 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c41.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f97…b139backed Yes27c41.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.151662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No66c40.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7926534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.851458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.