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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Greece win on 2026-06-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed No46c20,655$9,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,155.219644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes24c16,000$3,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,789.9919038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No77c9,033$6,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.5642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes36c6,066$2,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c4,972$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.441,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes45c4,970$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.991,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes34c4,633$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.7474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No50c4,547$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,272.114544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Yes5c2,524$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.65236.5%19 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+51.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes33c2,264$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c2,066$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.8476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes54c2,000$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07230117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes18c1,778$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes55c1,702$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9369454.3%51 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No76c1,665$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.3528162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes2c1,663$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.374,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes46c1,638$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked No76c1,574$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.028561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes52c1,523$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.741,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes53c1,507$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.964858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No48c1,269$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.441968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes52c1,237$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes46c1,176$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No48c1,155$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.9638819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23020044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No59c988.28$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.256541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes51c982$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.551926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked No59c950.34$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.6414061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No66c936.93$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.211,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No77c922.74$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes23c826.09$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No65c806.57$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.562,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes54c804.38$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.1626459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes27c705.65$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5322041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16138351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes55c686.71$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6922448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed No77c662.34$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3417339.3%68 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No61c613.84$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8644435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes24c607.08$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.716946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes23c599.08$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7713643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No45c569.92$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.8315932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No55c563.31$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes45c558.76$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.448445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes39c553.94$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5817513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No80c524.44$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.158871.6%63 W · 25 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes36c514.83$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7793542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11537850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes25c499.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed No49c482.35$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2466066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes24c471.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No76c467.75$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.143,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes45c444.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes24c402.08$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.57842.3%33 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9239050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb0…e116backed Yes57c394.74$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No47c394.24$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…8ddabacked Yes52c376.63$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.858035%28 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c346.66$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No73c307$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.891,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…31f7backed Yes50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.839951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Yes17c259.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.324533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7413445.5%61 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes33c256.37$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5527538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes23c246.01$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5824448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No77c243.29$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1481554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed No46c222$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.889269.6%64 W · 28 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Yes25c211.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9715240.8%62 W · 90 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No59c208.33$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4228042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No76c206.39$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Yes17c205.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-76.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes22c202.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2548937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba3e…4cbcbacked No75c200.29$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.813366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yes23c200.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.671,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4615742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Yes51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410548.6%51 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x05d9…ba37backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No73c179.32$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.611,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6711566.1%76 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No77c160$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.835451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No77c156$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8834851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e76…d740backed Yes23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228d…a610backed Yes54c148.41$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes25c144.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0219120.9%40 W · 151 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…5928backed No79c139.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.24955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3861…7313backed Yes55c139.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+113.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae85…c96abacked Yes22c138.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010662.3%66 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes18c138.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862552%13 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.25per pick27cpaid+63.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Yes50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6726133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes47c133.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6325641%105 W · 151 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No57c129.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.463151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2113372.9%97 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.