TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$707,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$745,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $707,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming52c337,943$176,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161,643.091,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Liquid48c111,716$53,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,332.287152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked LGD Gaming56c98,767$55,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,071.3328748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Team Liquid47c92,180$43,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,644.476051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid47c51,013$23,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,740.9422848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid47c46,813$21,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,997.5545139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed LGD Gaming53c37,747$20,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,741.1633746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid50c30,000$14,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,979.2142650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid47c30,000$14,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,149.9841944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed LGD Gaming52c24,800$12,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,851.9627645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid49c21,312$10,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,442.8841056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Team Liquid48c18,104$8,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,658.834035%14 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid29c17,875$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,101.5971143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid45c11,353$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.2165647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked LGD Gaming53c10,376$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,875.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80036041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40eb…d455backed Team Liquid48c7,627$3,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked LGD Gaming72c7,040$5,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.052445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50010445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Team Liquid47c6,922$3,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,276.013644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked LGD Gaming77c5,904$4,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.1232951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Team Liquid48c5,892$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.127728.6%22 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid48c5,458$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.6436248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a2…e0b6backed Team Liquid49c5,132$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Team Liquid47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3507541.3%31 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35012630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Liquid49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid2c4,848$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Liquid48c4,461$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.061729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Liquid48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92015848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Liquid1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19a1…ab38backed Team Liquid49c3,331$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LGD Gaming49c3,021$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.924751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2670…1bedbacked LGD Gaming75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Liquid49c2,908$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.7315144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3b…cb80backed Team Liquid59c2,650$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid49c2,532$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.6916746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Team Liquid46c2,516$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.1616842.9%72 W · 96 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20056852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed LGD Gaming57c2,441$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.4531547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked LGD Gaming44c2,330$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.011,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed LGD Gaming45c2,288$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.256541.5%27 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed Team Liquid54c2,174$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.5133453%177 W · 157 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked LGD Gaming53c2,075$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked LGD Gaming53c2,038$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.7355251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed LGD Gaming51c2,001$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.2862650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked LGD Gaming52c2,000$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.214259.9%85 W · 57 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid48c2,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked LGD Gaming51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7833850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Team Liquid25c1,923$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.293938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid47c1,909$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.2325549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Team Liquid49c1,628$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.824734%16 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Liquid49c1,624$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.5556945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Liquid51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76524153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Liquid48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72053764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team Liquid49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73518550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed LGD Gaming51c1,341$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.056141%25 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked LGD Gaming50c1,316$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65817047.1%80 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed LGD Gaming79c1,255$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.762650%13 W · 13 L-5.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming46c1,243$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.761,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a46…8112backed Team Liquid8c1,242$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Liquid28c1,227$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2145750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid24c1,226$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.21,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Team Liquid47c1,130$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.13743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed LGD Gaming54c1,107$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.332653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa1…bf72backed Team Liquid48c1,106$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.77425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid48c1,101$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.267447.3%35 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid33c1,088$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.541,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LGD Gaming70c1,070$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.712,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid49c1,017$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.522363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac8…1d09backed Team Liquid48c1,017$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LGD Gaming76c1,011$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.61,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed LGD Gaming50c1,003$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.4425935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid24c1,003$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Team Liquid24c1,003$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.723145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid24c1,002$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4868649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Liquid50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49026846.6%125 W · 143 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Team Liquid47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Liquid35c999.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9925639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked LGD Gaming70c999.93$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.731,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked LGD Gaming51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3929160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdfa…7491backed Team Liquid48c944.31$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.276544.6%29 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed LGD Gaming53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.43455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked LGD Gaming53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed LGD Gaming53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.437549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed LGD Gaming53c927.85$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.0921353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed LGD Gaming76c925$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2221060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked LGD Gaming52c923.08$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.0822340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked LGD Gaming50c918.98$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Team Liquid48c900$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4327850%39 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid48c893.87$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.051,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c38…f194backed Team Liquid50c880$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Team Liquid25c798.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ff0…c7aabacked LGD Gaming50c798$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed LGD Gaming52c749.93$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9722727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Team Liquid49c733.65$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.495949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Team Liquid50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Team Liquid50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013844.9%62 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.