TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LGD Gamingof LGD Gaming, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,278,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,348,341

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,278,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked LGD Gaming55c722,855$395,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327,192.2728748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid46c266,548$122,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,632.3416147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed LGD Gaming52c110,591$57,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,080.971,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Liquid45c100,000$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,999.9912560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Liquid46c40,000$18,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,40028159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Liquid45c40,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,0008847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,80022848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid46c28,319$12,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,886.6469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid53c27,818$14,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,710.0271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid48c27,395$13,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,026.2830138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid47c23,765$11,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,169.7842650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Liquid20c23,594$4,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.631,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid45c22,311$10,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,039.9540051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed LGD Gaming76c21,222$16,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.8334468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LGD Gaming55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00027153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Liquid46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,20017452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LGD Gaming54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9611953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid45c16,813$7,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,507.8948954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid46c16,696$7,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,72622340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid47c16,384$7,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,700.541056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid46c15,258$6,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,949.1145139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid46c14,491$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,66625549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid46c13,997$6,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,472.7329042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Liquid15c13,295$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04713020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid46c13,000$5,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,933.5736041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LGD Gaming53c12,819$6,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,073.4456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid46c12,644$5,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,865.591,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid46c12,310$5,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,662.5943344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid47c11,727$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50039343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid46c11,246$5,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,126.730336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Team Liquid47c11,081$5,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.8818351.9%95 W · 88 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid47c10,553$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,96071454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid47c10,197$4,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,792.7696357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid37c7,744$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.9877941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid48c7,358$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9413456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid46c7,124$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,304.211,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked LGD Gaming55c6,595$3,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.551,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed LGD Gaming54c6,031$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.2738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Team Liquid48c5,898$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.941735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid45c5,650$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.8468649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Liquid46c5,433$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.1335062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid47c5,254$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.8689749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…6ed0backed LGD Gaming64c5,251$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.471989.5%17 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+42.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid47c5,072$2,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.381,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Team Liquid48c5,066$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.778360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LGD Gaming54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9829348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a6…03abbacked Team Liquid46c4,905$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.586555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Team Liquid46c4,693$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.611330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed Team Liquid45c4,318$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.213145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid47c4,175$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.051,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Liquid52c3,954$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.0815337.3%57 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Liquid51c3,909$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.7410646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed LGD Gaming53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Liquid28c3,617$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Team Liquid47c3,500$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64516746.1%77 W · 90 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid46c3,500$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.9841944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Liquid1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2deb…2b13backed Team Liquid46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50011551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Team Liquid48c3,218$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.1858346.3%270 W · 313 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked LGD Gaming52c3,149$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.225446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Liquid46c3,131$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.813544.4%60 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed LGD Gaming54c3,100$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid46c3,047$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.6235637.1%132 W · 224 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Liquid13c3,023$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38012060.8%73 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Team Liquid47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4102445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed LGD Gaming49c2,990$1,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.2945951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid46c2,900$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33456542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Liquid51c2,874$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.6754753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cd0…08f6backed LGD Gaming54c2,741$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.746147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Team Liquid46c2,592$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.6621158.3%123 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid51c2,580$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.6789341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed LGD Gaming79c2,554$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.58469%58 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked Team Liquid47c2,539$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.4250347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed LGD Gaming52c2,222$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5631248.4%151 W · 161 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid41c2,200$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Team Liquid46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013850%69 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a46…8112backed Team Liquid18c2,102$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.392347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid46c2,027$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.4255751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14079559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f90…2d93backed Team Liquid37c1,966$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.122050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+52.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed Team Liquid46c1,950$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8972142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed LGD Gaming54c1,939$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.1952046.5%242 W · 278 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LGD Gaming55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.141351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Liquid45c1,777$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.9965647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked LGD Gaming43c1,647$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.979159.4%470 W · 321 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Liquid47c1,575$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.835758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed Team Liquid36c1,522$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.187850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Team Liquid47c1,518$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.465740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75036343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2670…1bedbacked Team Liquid46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67560349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked LGD Gaming52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.998657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac6b…7104backed LGD Gaming54c1,407$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.241631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Team Liquid46c1,407$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.22040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf597…efeebacked Team Liquid2c1,326$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.889223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed LGD Gaming54c1,311$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.9525248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Team Liquid48c1,270$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.51758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Team Liquid40c1,263$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50047457.4%272 W · 202 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked LGD Gaming44c1,259$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.2216541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.