TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes45c1,145$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.113823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes43c242.83$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.598647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No53c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2923357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes40c126.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No47c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.354450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5417652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf3…b88fbacked No56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566334.9%22 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked No56c87.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.756142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…3deebacked No56c80.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed No56c62.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.813641.2%56 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3348140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No51c55.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…494bbacked No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb826…dc01backed No55c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No44c44.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4221063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdcef…3599backed Yes48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.221944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No56c38.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No57c38.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.921,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No57c24.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x269f…5c62backed No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.443850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked No56c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.444045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes50c23.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.842,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x291d…a99abacked No57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed No56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked No56c18.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.