TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,356 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes36c261.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes30c259.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.687045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7255044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No74c149.89$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4335958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes32c113.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.368647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3624037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf302…08c1backed No67c95.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49f…3408backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcef…3599backed Yes37c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed Yes36c46.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6211928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No64c45.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.435954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No67c42.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked No71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.398043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed No64c41.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0519742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No78c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3621944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1811…913bbacked No63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.15658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No64c25.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0623357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.25549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x291d…a99abacked No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.417249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.821850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed No64c17.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1918473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.