TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,139

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x355e…a038backed Yes45c1,086$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0324037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No52c859.75$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3448961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes35c516.83$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.673823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes42c360.06$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8248140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes46c216.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.841231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes41c104$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.911,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed No77c102$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.262588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x13c9…1fdbbacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed No56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458525.9%22 W · 63 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes48c95.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.571,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No55c93$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8566239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No49c89.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8917249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes53c86.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1776445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No41c75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.56870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d4f…6e52backed Yes34c72.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+89.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.58144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcef…3599backed Yes48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No53c35.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8111256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2514739.5%58 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5618641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde64…a821backed Yes58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe3…10d8backed Yes71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.