TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe74…a70ebacked No72c1,395$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.5223357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes30c900$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6303447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes16c608.11$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.5376445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe459…0e18backed Yes24c291.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.671442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes8c210.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.358647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes17c129.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.848144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes22c115.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.727045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf3…b88fbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706334.9%22 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9448…b72ebacked Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718525.9%22 W · 63 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x165e…f5aabacked Yes18c99.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.711323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d4f…6e52backed Yes26c98.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+89.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No76c71.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6355044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0a1…ddbcbacked Yes18c70$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.44045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No78c55$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1531520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No70c54.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1535954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes29c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6366239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8fb…b650backed Yes20c50$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406839.7%27 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No78c36.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2948961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes31c35.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5411038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38a6…9110backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.