TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Record" during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x17bf…6731backed Yes79c294$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.428544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked No22c180$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.423357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No22c178.19$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7148961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xbcb4…da2cbacked Yes80c170$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes79c101.27$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf3…b88fbacked Yes78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786334.9%22 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No25c67.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3111928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No20c54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.421,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.831,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes75c43.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8776445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No34c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.421944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes80c29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.28647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes77c27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7966239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.817249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes78c20.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked Yes77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.45549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes77c17.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.113148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9f…a686backed Yes73c15.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118473.4%135 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.