TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Record" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,195

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,368 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No44c1,678$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Yes56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes48c468.38$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.38647.7%41 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes38c393.59$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.3476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes36c335.63$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.89743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes34c300$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19748140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes56c201.41$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.626142.6%26 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8817652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4804…3f54backed Yes56c162.74$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Yes56c161.15$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.916141%25 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Yes49c157.04$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.535444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fb…b650backed Yes45c152.16$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.066839.7%27 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf3…b88fbacked Yes54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556334.9%22 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6455044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No65c98.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.461,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No56c93.88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1117249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528144.4%36 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x594f…7f1abacked Yes56c54.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.17580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed Yes57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.511133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Yes34c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.994434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17bf…6731backed Yes35c49.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.038544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No43c45.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7635954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x269f…5c62backed Yes56c41.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.181855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No63c40.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6818453.8%99 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…494bbacked Yes36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed No65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9812…8b8dbacked Yes56c37.23$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.384045%18 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No65c37.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.061,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No40c36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0b65…2852backed Yes56c35.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.793850%19 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed No36c34.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3621051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900e…a4d3backed No50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58345.8%38 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No58c24.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.142,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No61c21.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4266239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes57c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0361752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No57c20.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4448636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3a6…3d43backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8fc…40bdbacked No50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.435958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.