MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a24ed8a913bf9c866270f6596091fa2eba5a3bb91ba23ea632556156ee9f50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Pittsburgh Pirates, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $546,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 45,253$26,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,498.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…b9d0backed Houston Astros | 11c | 27,041$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,090.5 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 24c | 25,861$6,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,578.72 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Houston Astros | 42c | 19,909$8,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,547.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Astros | 42c | 18,860$7,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,938.52 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Houston Astros | 11c | 16,503$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,661.43 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Houston Astros | 42c | 15,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 13,588$7,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,756.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Houston Astros | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,125 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 12,191$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.6 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 11,111$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.48 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 49c | 11,005$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.96 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 44c | 9,020$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.52 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 30c | 8,856$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,179.62 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 8,390$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 0c | 7,355$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 6,600$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,766.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 6,079$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Houston Astros | 42c | 5,894$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.96 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 34c | 5,751$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,806.08 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 5,602$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.48 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 22c | 5,591$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,379.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Houston Astros | 35c | 4,984$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.35 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 30c | 4,740$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,331.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 40c | 4,224$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 39c | 3,648$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.84 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 3,601$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.57 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 3,580$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.88 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 3,142$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Houston Astros | 1c | 3,021$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990.25 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 2,974$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 2,787$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 28c | 2,752$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,266$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.16 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 2,212$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.74 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 2,085$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 2,038$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Houston Astros | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Houston Astros | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,991$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.83 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,985$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,678$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.8 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,666$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.94 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Houston Astros | 28c | 1,639$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.25 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 1,550$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 1,490$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.94 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Houston Astros | 44c | 1,371$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.75 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,303$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 1,301$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.64 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,287$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,177$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.67 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,121$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.45 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 33c | 1,102$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.6 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Houston Astros | 34c | 1,000$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.3 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 900$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 860.73$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.94 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 833$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 808$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.72 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 804.52$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.95 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Houston Astros | 39c | 789.43$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.55 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Houston Astros | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 712.44$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.09 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 699.99$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Houston Astros | 62c | 669.57$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.94 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Houston Astros | 2c | 650$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Houston Astros | 40c | 596.45$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.87 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 548$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.81 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 544.82$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.72 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 40c | 539.54$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.72 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 518.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.59 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Houston Astros | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Houston Astros | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 485.79$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 480.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Houston Astros | 42c | 480.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.44 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Houston Astros | 40c | 474$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.4 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 471.19$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Houston Astros | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Houston Astros | 6c | 456.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.16 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Houston Astros | 40c | 455$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Houston Astros | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.86 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Houston Astros | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 448.01$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Houston Astros | 60c | 445$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.37 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 14.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 15.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.