TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof Team Falcons, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$426,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$496,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed BetBoom Team60c48,947$29,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,816.0133746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team59c40,787$24,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,587.11,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons41c24,904$10,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,282.7317648.3%85 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed BetBoom Team58c21,801$12,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9e…1997backed BetBoom Team60c16,506$9,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons40c15,107$6,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,040.5336041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons41c14,055$5,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,773.8411547%54 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Falcons41c13,382$5,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,422.811729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd3…6c9abacked BetBoom Team58c12,575$7,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.291353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons42c11,691$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.9828748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Team Falcons40c10,195$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Team Falcons39c10,034$3,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,912.916139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team Falcons41c9,260$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,796.610540%42 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0f…4790backed Team Falcons40c9,073$3,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons32c7,659$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.6892846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Team Falcons40c7,286$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.394035%14 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked BetBoom Team60c6,324$3,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.545154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Team Falcons40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked BetBoom Team60c5,167$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.677058.6%41 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked BetBoom Team59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05020159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10f7…fcfabacked Team Falcons28c4,925$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.91520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-63.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37b5…0ddabacked Team Falcons42c4,806$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.861861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons19c4,452$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.096725.4%17 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Team Falcons41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64012630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Team Falcons40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6004751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team60c3,750$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Falcons1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed BetBoom Team79c3,052$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.713956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team60c3,008$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.0389749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Team Falcons40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9915144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons43c2,760$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18719547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Falcons40c2,511$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.392250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52e5…60babacked BetBoom Team60c2,483$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.928959.6%53 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a4…82febacked BetBoom Team58c2,478$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Team Falcons43c2,325$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7516550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac6b…7104backed Team Falcons41c2,323$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.551631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons40c2,292$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.9915147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed BetBoom Team77c2,154$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.922958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked BetBoom Team60c2,137$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.6729160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons39c2,124$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.3688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Falcons42c2,000$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Team Falcons42c1,919$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.7960%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons34c1,890$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.882,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons22c1,828$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.91,69141.4%700 W · 991 L-40.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Team Falcons40c1,806$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons24c1,766$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.071,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons26c1,711$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.281,15147.8%550 W · 601 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked BetBoom Team60c1,552$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.7855251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed BetBoom Team56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66018550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed BetBoom Team71c1,499$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.367051.4%36 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons5c1,491$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.551,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Team Falcons44c1,486$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6541266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Team Falcons46c1,479$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.5918437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked BetBoom Team57c1,450$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.9859154%319 W · 272 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Team Falcons28c1,411$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.933938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Falcons44c1,395$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.844149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed BetBoom Team60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.338459.5%50 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fac…b89abacked BetBoom Team60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.3322450%112 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed BetBoom Team71c1,322$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.353455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons18c1,311$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.1271143%306 W · 405 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed BetBoom Team76c1,306$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.213551.9%70 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Team Falcons41c1,294$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.726031.7%19 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Team Falcons40c1,272$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.83938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08a…cfe2backed Team Falcons5c1,250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Falcons41c1,250$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.516541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed BetBoom Team60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5009464.9%61 W · 33 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons16c1,250$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.591,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed BetBoom Team57c1,150$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.74148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Team Falcons42c1,146$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.310136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons40c1,144$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.9821353.5%114 W · 99 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked BetBoom Team55c1,099$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.7133850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Falcons20c1,083$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.21,44348.7%703 W · 740 L+29.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed BetBoom Team56c1,081$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.867555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Falcons41c1,020$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41864744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team67c1,005$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.21,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Falcons44c1,003$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.1724052.1%125 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons7c1,000$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.61,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Falcons8c1,000$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8223342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41020145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Team Falcons21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21013742.3%58 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Team Falcons41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41029143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Team Falcons40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013850%69 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Falcons40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40069235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Team Falcons41c999.94$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9817737.9%67 W · 110 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons6c999.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.091,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team Falcons44c993.03$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.537241.9%156 W · 216 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x115a…98e1backed Team Falcons43c988.37$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65f7…86ddbacked Team Falcons43c986$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.41225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Team Falcons41c959.24$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2930357.1%173 W · 130 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Team Falcons44c899.16$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.287850%39 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons34c883.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.742,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BetBoom Team61c881.01$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.8177256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed Team Falcons41c877.73$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.871838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed BetBoom Team60c871.18$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.471376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+62.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Falcons41c860.58$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.7271142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked BetBoom Team58c846$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.231070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed Team Falcons43c845.99$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.