TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "What A Save" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes28c522.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.917045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes28c305.79$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.779548.4%46 W · 49 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No67c225.19$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8320250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No69c218$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.242759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No14c186.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf722…4e1ebacked Yes28c160$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes79c127.66$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3235954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes22c105.61$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8823357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4616847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes17c75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed Yes26c72.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6311928.6%34 W · 85 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked No73c65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.213345.1%60 W · 73 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.834151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No73c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1545736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No27c53.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2248636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.535958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb096…e8d7backed No25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No69c43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6721944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No73c40.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4618641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d3…c14bbacked No77c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes32c38.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.376160.7%37 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No73c34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8213148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No73c27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7111038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x900e…a4d3backed No66c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.168345.8%38 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x269f…5c62backed No73c24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.521855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b0…05a6backed No67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+55.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.421850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No74c17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.