TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Loose Ball" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,455
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,455 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes9c174.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No45c139.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.677045.7%32 W · 38 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Yes40c94.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.045125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed Yes39c74.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.175545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.816646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadf1…6460backed No49c54.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf722…4e1ebacked Yes56c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Yes56c29.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4713530.4%41 W · 94 L-16.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Yes57c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.398043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.648636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x6cfc…a5c2backed No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x454c…b413backed Yes56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…c62fbacked Yes58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f3…985abacked No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71d0…b8ddbacked No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.