Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ecd171b6b867ea1b1f3912fee0a03d609bbb7d7a1d84fa7fbdcec12d58ad76d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 34c | 1,041$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.3 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed No | 14c | 509.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 51c | 470.26$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.19 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 40c | 384.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…f3cebacked No | 7c | 336.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 47c | 320.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 54c | 299.73$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 65c | 296$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…60febacked Yes | 37c | 282.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 38c | 209.26$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 62c | 159.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 78c | 153.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 66c | 142$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 129.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…6b73backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 37c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed No | 61c | 118$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 68c | 113.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 43c | 112.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 49c | 106.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 45c | 104.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 67c | 96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 74c | 95.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 37c | 93.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 33c | 86.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b3…14f8backed No | 71c | 84.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 66.1%82 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 62c | 79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 59c | 76.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 37c | 72.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 35c | 68.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 56c | 63.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 80c | 61.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 36c | 59.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 35c | 57.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 54.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 67c | 54.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed No | 59c | 42.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…53d5backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 43c | 39.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 42c | 37.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 33c | 35.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…a44abacked No | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…9cc6backed Yes | 80c | 29.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…b208backed No | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4122backed No | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8385…89a4backed Yes | 48c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 46c | 25.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked No | 64c | 25.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 257 | 58%149 W · 108 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f56…584dbacked Yes | 77c | 22.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 68c | 21.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…df40backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 397 | 68.8%273 W · 124 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d465backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…dd31backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…ea22backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 69c | 19.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3edf…e863backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 69c | 16.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 68c | 15.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 72c | 14.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.