Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ca7dc8db8d5b159ab9fde0ea2726e0e8833b32b34f438115c47bf88f066648
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 23c | 843.67$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 359 | 58.5%210 W · 149 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 68c | 270.21$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.53 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 73c | 241$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…5d25backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 34c | 175.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…e26cbacked No | 30c | 166.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -16.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…62b1backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 31c | 127.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes | 76c | 119.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 76c | 107.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ec…cb6cbacked Yes | 70c | 71.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 70c | 58.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 69c | 55.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 67c | 52.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…17bbbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 30c | 45.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 70c | 42.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…5dd3backed Yes | 73c | 34.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 70c | 30.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +27.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 75c | 29.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…f52bbacked Yes | 71c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 70c | 20.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…2a51backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…cb22backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d465backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 71c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d6…2179backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Cross" 10+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "History" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Suspension" or "Suspended" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Viking" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.