Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431f2c18698504967874afc19345a28239088887f4431f46fe564e63ff7733e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 68c | 3,204$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.94 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 32c | 2,428$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.6 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 70c | 918.54$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 34c | 753.12$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.06 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1811…913bbacked Yes | 66c | 738$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.92 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…5812backed No | 37c | 665.64$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 54c | 393.52$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.13 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes | 67c | 330.3$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 30 | 90%27 W · 3 L | +8.9wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…7797backed No | 33c | 299.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 35c | 239.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 229.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…8354backed No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 48c | 187.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…bb74backed Yes | 67c | 184.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 63c | 160.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 47c | 141.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 512 | 50.4%258 W · 254 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked No | 34c | 133.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 359 | 58.5%210 W · 149 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…a64abacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 54c | 96.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 31c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa338…e65cbacked No | 33c | 79.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 33c | 75.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 72.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…309dbacked No | 42c | 59.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 52.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 39c | 48.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 31c | 34.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed Yes | 61c | 21.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76b…8a50backed Yes | 64c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d7…c714backed Yes | 67c | 16.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Cross" 10+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "History" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Suspension" or "Suspended" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Viking" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.