TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes63c304.88$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7524954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7625352.6%133 W · 120 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9521944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes73c141.52$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.211,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No26c132.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.789643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ba…e33abacked No37c119.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0d…d3a5backed Yes73c75.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed No37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d4…3e55backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d91…3578backed Yes75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118257.3%47 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes70c41.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1510454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Yes62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.411749.6%58 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1566239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed No37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13040%12 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6541…9767backed Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes66c19.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.555459.3%32 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.