TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Pressure" 15+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,965 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No42c1,870$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.5576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No2c725.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34324954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes52c567.38$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15235958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No36c138.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9521944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No38c129.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9122550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes56c88.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.022,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bf…8ecebacked No37c87.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.235550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes63c77.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.641,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes58c65.34$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.441,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Yes56c59.59$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.126870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed Yes61c59.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.162588%22 W · 3 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+36.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed No36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes59c50.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6210454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes56c33.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9711256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed Yes57c23.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.192055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d4…3e55backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.