Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80f1e6bee0d6d4589a6e18cff3649c1bb60a5e91d013c9563607a5b8adef0cd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 26c | 1,105$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.37 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 34c | 829.58$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.03 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 43c | 436.55$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 50c | 430$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 68c | 386.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.57 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 74c | 324.63$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 14c | 304.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 74c | 295$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 62c | 248.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 241.28$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 221.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 49c | 220.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 45c | 199.85$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 63c | 199.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 54c | 197.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 21c | 177.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 73c | 157.3$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 45c | 151.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16d…6ca6backed Yes | 50c | 145.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 38c | 139.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 137.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 129.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…edf6backed Yes | 29c | 120.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 119.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 73c | 113.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 113.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 113$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 64c | 109$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Yes | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 37c | 99.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 38c | 87.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 24c | 82.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 28c | 70.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…2ff7backed Yes | 40c | 64.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 61.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 62c | 57.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 71c | 51.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 24c | 51.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb9…191abacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…e66dbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…95f5backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 76c | 49.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 49.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…7565backed Yes | 39c | 47.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 23c | 46.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 22c | 46.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 34c | 46.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 76c | 41.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae7…2b0dbacked Yes | 52c | 39.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 36.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 36.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 78c | 31.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 61c | 31.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 317 | 66.9%212 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…87c9backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 72c | 25.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…8c10backed No | 75c | 23.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 20.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d465backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed No | 78c | 19.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 173 | 61.8%107 W · 66 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 68c | 17.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 75c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.