World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a3d34f94189736ecdc443ada286900073513edd236cd54939cf4eadb9f5e304
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 2,014$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…da0abacked No | 67c | 1,485$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 18c | 1,418$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed Yes | 27c | 822.04$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 29c | 814.38$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 8c | 580.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 425$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 3c | 405.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 12c | 393.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 73c | 353.13$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 34c | 335.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 282.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 23c | 197.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed No | 75c | 187$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 32c | 170$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 32c | 166.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 162.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 75c | 150.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 142.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 7c | 139.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…dc70backed Yes | 34c | 129.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 125.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 122.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 30c | 118.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 30c | 117.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 12c | 113.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 112.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 26c | 110.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 77c | 110.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed No | 79c | 108.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 21c | 108$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 106$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 46cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 98.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 26c | 94.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 70c | 89.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 27c | 89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 27c | 85.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 77c | 77.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…712bbacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked No | 80c | 72.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…dcdebacked Yes | 32c | 71.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 25c | 69.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…64c0backed Yes | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 60.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 80c | 59.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…2aeebacked No | 70c | 52.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 68c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 80c | 50.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 31c | 50.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 58 | 81%47 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…e0cfbacked Yes | 33c | 42.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 32c | 42.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 28c | 41.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 29c | 38.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…3c35backed No | 67c | 37.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 70c | 30.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 75c | 30.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…0968backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…42f8backed No | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 67c | 27.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 69c | 24.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 70c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…65cfbacked No | 68c | 20.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d465backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 71c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 67c | 18.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed No | 71c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…6c00backed No | 69c | 15.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.