World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8407aeeb7ec18e72ab0bbc132700283b65323f82685e25b97272c9f8ff9cb9d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 14c | 2,245$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.6 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 1,289$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed No | 78c | 1,209$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.36 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 10c | 926.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 4c | 800.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 10c | 505.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 488.01$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.52 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed Yes | 29c | 460.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 80c | 392.09$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 7c | 354.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 4c | 335.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 16c | 324.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 11c | 320.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 10c | 293.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 264.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 145 | 21.4%31 W · 114 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 7c | 263.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6821…63a4backed Yes | 8c | 258$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…a14ebacked Yes | 8c | 258$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 20c | 237.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…325fbacked No | 77c | 237.16$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 222.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…d8a3backed Yes | 8c | 213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…3e43backed Yes | 8c | 213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…9909backed Yes | 10c | 204.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 15c | 203.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +494.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed No | 63c | 191.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 79c | 179.46$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 37c | 176.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 175$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 7c | 173.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 27c | 169.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 36c | 163.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…1f74backed Yes | 8c | 156$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…964abacked Yes | 8c | 155$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…c0cdbacked Yes | 8c | 155$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…27adbacked Yes | 8c | 152$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…78d1backed No | 67c | 149.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 79c | 148.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…e6bcbacked Yes | 10c | 147.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 12c | 139.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…9da2backed Yes | 11c | 137.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 32c | 133.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 17c | 130.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 16c | 124.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…dcdebacked Yes | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 39c | 117.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 11c | 117.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…cecdbacked Yes | 17c | 116.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 9c | 114.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 102.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 62c | 98.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 41c | 96.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 38c | 90$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 67c | 82.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 14c | 77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 65c | 76.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 41c | 72.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 41c | 64.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 60.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 71c | 58.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 38c | 50.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 25c | 47.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 63c | 46.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 60c | 45.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…ca4abacked No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 76c | 37.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 46c | 32.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8782…0968backed Yes | 43c | 29.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 35c | 28.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 64c | 20.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked No | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…f0ddbacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.