Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2db97b61c5d0f07ca3c2fbcc2c1a862fdf4568e3d4494355581e26afa1f8517

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $94,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $81,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,460 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x533c…2658backed Yes	69c	19,759$13,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,198.95	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f3…975cbacked No	9c	14,077$1,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,315.57	68	30.9%21 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed No	32c	10,571$3,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,382.11	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	22cpaid	+39.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	22c	3,804$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.91	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed No	21c	3,660$771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No	55c	2,393$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.62	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x166f…a5d3backed Yes	9c	2,245$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,044.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.91per pick	9cpaid	+1,022.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	55c	1,842$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.76	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd6…10d4backed No	32c	1,730$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.44	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	60cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked No	35c	1,396$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.51	736	26.5%195 W · 541 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb563…8787backed Yes	71c	1,370$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	3c	1,270$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.41	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabc9…cb40backed No	13c	1,257$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7377…2524backed No	1c	1,247$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+166.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	17c	1,200$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.41	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	75c	1,109$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$833.61	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed No	18c	1,038$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.31	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47ae…ee94backed No	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.19per pick	51cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc810…512fbacked No	44c	999.98$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…2d38backed No	17c	705.88$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6209…91bdbacked No	2c	670.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4262…0ef2backed No	25c	630.28$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.51	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-24%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No	63c	613.94$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.64	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No	34c	600$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes	71c	600$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed No	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+121.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a6…a2e7backed Yes	8c	562.5$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.92per pick	8cpaid	+1,150%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No	42c	508.34$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.5	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No	24c	486$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.01	119	28.6%34 W · 85 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No	33c	458.4$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.27	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	18c	448.71$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.16	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb835…2e51backed No	41c	428.26$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.77	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	29c	426.33$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.25	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No	3c	374.94$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked No	22c	355.86$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.02	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	37c	349.35$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.59	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33be…adc8backed No	25c	300$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.66	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes	80c	300$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+46.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83fc…2bedbacked No	16c	267.86$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.86	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	19c	265.51$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.11	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	32c	254.29$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.49	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No	5c	251.91$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf28f…841abacked No	30c	240$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed5…7c3abacked No	43c	233.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce77…86c4backed No	62c	219.38$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.75	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7789…a280backed Yes	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	73cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74c9…f49fbacked No	27c	185.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5219…9781backed No	17c	177.65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No	13c	176.12$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked No	7c	174.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No	40c	169.92$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.73	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6428…27e6backed Yes	49c	162.66$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.66	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+103.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	48c	157.41$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.95	272	55.9%152 W · 120 L	+36.1wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	62c	156.36$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.4	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked No	58c	149.99$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.99	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No	27c	149.23$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.04	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ea…3ce8backed No	52c	147.47$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb90f…ea7abacked No	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	40%76 W · 114 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	21c	134.57$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.1	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No	38c	126.54$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.58	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fff…be78backed Yes	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed No	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	205	39%80 W · 125 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…dcc6backed No	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed No	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.16	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93e2…92b9backed No	13c	98.61$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…5a3dbacked No	53c	98.46$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.31	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	17c	95$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.44	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed Yes	68c	89.06$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed No	56c	88.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.62	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2947…4cf4backed No	57c	87.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	56cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes	73c	79.03$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.54	198	74.7%148 W · 50 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	74cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa619…1103backed No	46c	79$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.34	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	39cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No	16c	78.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf4…ba60backed No	34c	76.1$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	48c	75.55$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.49	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcc4…f3dabacked Yes	72c	73.41$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.73	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No	28c	71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…7b9cbacked Yes	77c	70$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb679…bd5ebacked No	47c	69$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed Yes	79c	68.57$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed No	44c	63.08$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.76	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed No	38c	61.12$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	184	53.8%99 W · 85 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…51d5backed No	60c	60.49$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.29	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc069…a7a0backed No	35c	56.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4765…5967backed No	45c	55.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a72…a2abbacked No	56c	53$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.68	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a0c…74f9backed No	54c	52.09$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.98	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No	52c	51.43$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.91	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	62c	51.38$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	116	36.2%42 W · 74 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57e…0b91backed Yes	76c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65d…b385backed Yes	65c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.5	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0678…5e7abacked No	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6df…d71dbacked Yes	52c	49.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	61c	49$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec6…a2a6backed No	25c	48$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	25cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3b…9f3abacked No	25c	44.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c44…a66ebacked Yes	56c	43.51$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.14	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed No	30c	43.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.01	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event