TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,279 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes9c9,164$869 inLost-$869.3543835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes7c2,918$193 inLost-$192.6922834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Yes10c2,250$225 inLost-$2254528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc3…084abacked Yes11c1,794$198 inLost-$198.073721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505c…b31ebacked Yes7c1,025$67 inLost-$66.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c2…1478backed Yes10c800$80 inLost-$80366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+180.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1c…1ec7backed Yes16c780.82$123 inLost-$122.67825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f69…6843backed Yes6c689.94$41 inLost-$41.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6700…acfebacked Yes10c652.41$65 inLost-$64.956615.2%10 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes9c618.29$54 inLost-$53.974841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes5c595$29 inLost-$29.1419818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Yes4c500$20 inLost-$2029449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes12c488.95$59 inLost-$58.667799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes10c373.99$37 inLost-$37.0341231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7809…e895backed Yes7c316.09$22 inLost-$21.8170%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes7c300.66$22 inLost-$21.7835954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38a5…bdb2backed Yes7c266.67$20 inLost-$201450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes8c232.87$18 inLost-$18.32937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes7c189$13 inLost-$13.2334630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes11c117.87$13 inLost-$13.168411.9%10 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick13cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$10.21266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.