TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,785 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes6c8,902$523 inLost-$523.3143835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes5c3,257$175 inLost-$175.4822834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes6c947.25$61 inLost-$60.621,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes6c694.61$45 inLost-$45.0145736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c660.33$40 inLost-$39.677799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes3c631$19 inLost-$18.6158926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes6c505$30 inLost-$30.3519345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes5c461.22$24 inLost-$24.4716336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes4c395.25$16 inLost-$16.141266.3%8 W · 118 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes3c337.3$10 inLost-$10.191674.2%7 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes6c335.7$19 inLost-$19.222937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes7c320$24 inLost-$23.8330241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fe…7061backed Yes8c300$24 inLost-$24230%0 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes5c250$12 inLost-$12.2132044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed Yes9c225.84$21 inLost-$21.351225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes9c224.07$20 inLost-$20.141,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes7c213.85$15 inLost-$14.9748636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes6c200$11 inLost-$11.42350%0 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes7c165$11 inLost-$11.3619818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3669…b4bdbacked Yes16c163.77$25 inLost-$25.4680%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62da…326dbacked Yes11c140.76$15 inLost-$14.9480%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Yes13c114.39$15 inLost-$155736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.