Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e88596ca45f30c9a2aaa37b23797a1b00d0a6d056d611e69abf95000e01be7

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,985 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	12c	4,792$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.4	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1da8…9234backed Yes	29c	1,258$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.32	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc3…084abacked Yes	7c	1,218$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.24	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	14c	1,071$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.09	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No	70c	774.93$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.4	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…337bbacked Yes	9c	746.51$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes	15c	590.89$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	13c	583$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.49	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	3c	503.09$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.59	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	464.13$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.45	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe92a…a51cbacked No	60c	445.19$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.08	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c97…fa05backed No	73c	389.36$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.36	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	5c	263$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.27	35	0%0 W · 35 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	7c	260$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.14	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c6…e5c2backed Yes	6c	225.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.85	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+57.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	8c	221.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	215.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked No	67c	210.26$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.86	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	7c	204.08$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507b…0742backed No	80c	90$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5a…aabebacked No	72c	62.12$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.12	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.30per pick	48cpaid	+74%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.37	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.37	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event