TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes22c3,188$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.6258926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x626e…fa46backed No57c2,363$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x010d…d0e6backed Yes11c1,934$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.831250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked No73c1,825$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.782814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes22c1,709$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.722834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No71c1,212$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.0843835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes30c1,210$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.8850%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba46…6ac5backed No62c869.9$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.94582.2%37 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Yes32c857.98$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.859351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9564…d89abacked Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+67.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b0e…b936backed No15c728.5$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x404a…575dbacked No75c585.53$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.534946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb741…a996backed No70c573.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92a7…eb78backed Yes29c505.86$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked No74c505.01$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7773626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed No79c484.6$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1922449.6%111 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes17c419.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.291,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes11c414.39$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9835954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes14c409.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0219818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6700…acfebacked Yes4c352.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.386615.2%10 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes11c345.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.31612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-83%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf3…369dbacked No64c340.77$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes22c318.85$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.217799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Yes7c267.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes31c257.19$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8942737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes11c255.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2241231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes19c235.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5917828.1%50 W · 128 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe92a…a51cbacked No52c232.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.742466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes19c217.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.148636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2843…b3d2backed No67c209.66$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1521058.1%122 W · 88 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No80c201.15$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4316336.2%59 W · 104 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes20c200.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9224954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xda25…054fbacked No68c165.39$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.39850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1411…2410backed Yes16c163.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.641118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bf…403ebacked No67c160.21$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-34.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x123a…326abacked No78c154.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.33542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17d…59aebacked Yes55c137.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c97…fa05backed Yes25c130.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53f8…5ce0backed Yes33c123.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3669…b4bdbacked Yes16c120.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.780%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes70c115$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1745445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No14c109$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.966098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ba…5b5ebacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f95…cc19backed No31c98.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.014845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f6…5108backed No74c94.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes63c89.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes22c88.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6517138%65 W · 106 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78d0…6110backed No32c77.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.229845.9%45 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed Yes20c77.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5b…27abbacked No20c76.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.632050%10 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed No58c76.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.263467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c2…41bebacked Yes71c74.49$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes38c74.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.322,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd67…77b2backed No28c69.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x039b…9b6cbacked No23c65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…44c8backed No80c61.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+492.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb477…673ebacked No77c58.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.088571.8%61 W · 24 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes34c53.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.124829.2%14 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…51b4backed No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.057556%42 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa4…cd4ebacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.751216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b53…2f29backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x381a…12a4backed Yes52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes63c49.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.644141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No70c49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.724541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3af…71b5backed Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No34c44.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6180225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e0…ac5cbacked Yes35c42.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.791952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…9aa1backed Yes32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Yes57c34.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9818053.3%96 W · 84 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5203…b975backed No79c34.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbe…2520backed No71c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.311353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x308f…8607backed No79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.713577.1%27 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa724…cb96backed No64c31.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.063053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes72c21.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3921858.7%128 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No73c19.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2320561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed No78c18.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.111834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…80c0backed No80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.045386.8%46 W · 7 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+35.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.