Dota2 · resolved market
Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d171a60aa0b43c7d71ee28c7b00aec55e5071060390b09cd3fee0c663fee82e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 69c | 1,589$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.98 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 24c | 699.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 45c | 672.73$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 27c | 657.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 20c | 586.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.31 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 40c | 460.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 43c | 372.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 60c | 212.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 37c | 189.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 48c | 179$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed Yes | 76c | 158.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Yes | 61c | 109.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…18fdbacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 49c | 72.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…c7debacked Yes | 65c | 59.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…61b4backed No | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…5630backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb725…87c0backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 66c | 40.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc724…3a19backed Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked No | 37c | 32.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec49…5975backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…f62cbacked Yes | 56c | 20.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…82f5backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…5093backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d465backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?this page
- Will China Win the Dota EWC 2026?No won
- Will Western Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.