CS2 · resolved market
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x091be9d8428ad137a91a08bd832fca1f78b227b568dc2730aae74fffb64d8b94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 706.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…e028backed No | 64c | 650.02$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 48c | 648.15$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Yes | 26c | 570.23$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…bdc9backed Yes | 13c | 522.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 63c | 442.51$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…ed59backed Yes | 43c | 396.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 54c | 379.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 360$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 44c | 323.83$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed Yes | 55c | 311.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed No | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed No | 69c | 168$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…ffcbbacked Yes | 46c | 136.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 78c | 130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes | 51c | 118.9$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd446…09a1backed Yes | 20c | 108.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +285.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 63c | 84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…9f36backed Yes | 54c | 77.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…ef07backed Yes | 54c | 68.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a17…fc4fbacked Yes | 54c | 65.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 63c | 63.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…5e15backed No | 67c | 58.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 78c | 48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…fc2fbacked Yes | 39c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 39cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…c7debacked No | 67c | 39.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…220bbacked Yes | 34c | 38.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 42c | 37.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +62%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313e…8498backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…d7d8backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ccd0backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…c6dabacked No | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…0c88backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…86bebacked Yes | 60c | 24.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 63c | 24.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…9837backed No | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576e…f8e0backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…6a15backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…4cfcbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9577…00cbbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…e0e3backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65d…b385backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…e87ebacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f7c3backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0382…c110backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…d288backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…967cbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…b245backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd20…6159backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…9065backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…6254backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…8b82backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d465backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…04d4backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.