Lol · resolved market
Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33b0fa7114d6bf720305907e2c2b209d11b9815ae88e6859b7019fa2fb746cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Yes | 7c | 2,752$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.06 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked No | 51c | 1,845$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.09 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 50c | 1,620$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.68 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed No | 61c | 835.68$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.44 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 37c | 697.51$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.93 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 52c | 445.66$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Yes | 41c | 388.14$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…0776backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…09bbbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 48c | 198.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 49c | 162.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 39c | 152.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 45c | 151.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Yes | 51c | 138.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 53c | 129.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 15c | 113$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Yes | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Yes | 39c | 107.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…2539backed Yes | 34c | 102.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Yes | 56c | 89.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked Yes | 22c | 71.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 70.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 52c | 67.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…e0cbbacked No | 76c | 58.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 47c | 49.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5a86backed Yes | 50c | 41.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6be5backed Yes | 42c | 41.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…cd85backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…7946backed Yes | 37c | 29.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 60c | 27.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…2004backed Yes | 47c | 26.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 55c | 24.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…7a5abacked No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…d7f8backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…87e1backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d465backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?this page
- Will Estral Esports win CD 2026 Split 1?No won
- Will INTZ win CD 2026 Split 1?No won
- Will Keyd Stars Academy win CD 2026 Split 1?Yes won
- Will paiN Gaming Academy win CD 2026 Split 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.