TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof TheMongolz, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$421,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$452,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb083…b3f0backed Natus Vincere44c98,877$43,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,257.6821645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked TheMongolz56c72,869$40,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,467.1911146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Natus Vincere44c71,047$31,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,622.874759.6%28 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5310…c6ffbacked TheMongolz0c35,969$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked TheMongolz55c33,477$18,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,566.978237.8%31 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Natus Vincere44c26,251$11,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,692.82441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac7…5edebacked TheMongolz0c23,973$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b1…d855backed Natus Vincere47c21,300$10,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,289.136041.7%25 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked TheMongolz54c20,653$11,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,096.316448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked TheMongolz56c17,857$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Natus Vincere46c13,459$6,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,331.999329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed TheMongolz55c11,149$6,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,131.6945848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed TheMongolz55c10,524$5,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,788.440%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed TheMongolz55c7,200$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96016449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed TheMongolz56c6,980$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90061338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere56c5,987$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,608.4883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a89…a3b6backed TheMongolz56c5,357$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked TheMongolz56c5,240$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.435940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere60c5,000$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.851,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed TheMongolz55c4,654$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.636842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afb…2d71backed TheMongolz2c3,818$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Natus Vincere45c3,446$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.0520855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b69…378cbacked TheMongolz1c3,216$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed TheMongolz11c3,187$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.227345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5c…1fdabacked TheMongolz1c3,091$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Natus Vincere44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz51c2,970$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0110…14dfbacked TheMongolz2c2,898$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked TheMongolz53c2,582$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.4615452.6%81 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96aa…2505backed TheMongolz1c2,479$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa248…19d9backed TheMongolz55c2,243$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.512347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz55c2,223$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.331,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a1…6ae4backed Natus Vincere46c2,176$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7c…c695backed TheMongolz2c2,082$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked TheMongolz57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz56c1,979$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10824440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed TheMongolz55c1,933$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.0116335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere60c1,905$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.1426351.3%135 W · 128 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed TheMongolz56c1,816$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.7726344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed TheMongolz55c1,814$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.4775450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a7…a5b5backed TheMongolz3c1,757$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73f…4595backed TheMongolz3c1,725$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked TheMongolz48c1,643$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.4713043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Natus Vincere44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89625842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed TheMongolz56c1,600$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89624935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed TheMongolz57c1,589$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked TheMongolz56c1,500$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.5211847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed TheMongolz34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51046340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed TheMongolz57c1,356$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.665459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked Natus Vincere67c1,200$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3994346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed TheMongolz46c1,191$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.5412843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed TheMongolz53c1,160$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.897230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed TheMongolz46c1,089$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.458636%31 W · 55 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed TheMongolz55c1,088$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.662540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz6c1,047$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.951,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked TheMongolz56c1,007$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5645129.4%15 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed TheMongolz55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55013954.7%76 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed TheMongolz33c939.28$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.573548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed TheMongolz56c892$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.527842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e53…b9d1backed Natus Vincere58c865.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.711060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed TheMongolz55c830.91$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4579860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere45c750$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.522056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a23…5ca3backed TheMongolz55c720.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc975…2c68backed Natus Vincere77c716.07$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.072548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed TheMongolz11c704.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5232425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz53c700$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed TheMongolz55c664.03$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36711044.5%49 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed TheMongolz47c644.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed TheMongolz52c571.03$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3642638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked TheMongolz55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Natus Vincere78c538.95$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.156456.3%36 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed TheMongolz56c537.29$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8814237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed TheMongolz55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked TheMongolz30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509838.8%38 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed TheMongolz56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28023351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed TheMongolz61c442.63$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26968753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Natus Vincere44c440$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.411030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Natus Vincere46c434.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7537448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5f9…4863backed TheMongolz5c412.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2205,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec3…9766backed Natus Vincere64c390.34$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.034168.3%28 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f1…6caebacked TheMongolz55c370$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed TheMongolz56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed TheMongolz40c310.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.54035%14 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed TheMongolz36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.84736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed TheMongolz56c269$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6458961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Natus Vincere67c266$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Natus Vincere66c261.4$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.35565.5%36 W · 19 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed TheMongolz53c257.59$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7655043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40b…efebbacked TheMongolz16c233.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ff…f89bbacked TheMongolz37c233.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Natus Vincere44c229.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.815642.3%66 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2236751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed TheMongolz52c218.57$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed TheMongolz56c211$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1663345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked TheMongolz45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909345.2%42 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed TheMongolz55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4709…bda7backed TheMongolz55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…3202backed Natus Vincere44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed TheMongolz45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.