Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf5f3858562409659ac60c1d101e14a8d215b8980c6d505f6e8fa2ee2902bef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.38 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 53c | 2,908$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…88edbacked Yes | 3c | 2,062$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,283$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e2…b0f3backed No | 68c | 1,028$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 13c | 744.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 40c | 717.85$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.42 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 46c | 700$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…be96backed No | 60c | 689.54$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed No | 56c | 532.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed No | 45c | 499.55$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…3769backed Yes | 29c | 468.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 43c | 467.87$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.47 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…981abacked Yes | 23c | 430.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 22c | 419.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…c051backed Yes | 32c | 414.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 8c | 410.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 43c | 399.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed Yes | 62c | 375$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed No | 56c | 369.18$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 44c | 367.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 42c | 360.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 55c | 337.93$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.07 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed No | 60c | 322.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 48c | 303.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…301cbacked Yes | 40c | 300.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 65c | 290.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked No | 72c | 281.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 59c | 275.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.02 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…03f3backed Yes | 25c | 257.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5034…3225backed No | 80c | 256.24$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 65c | 249.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed Yes | 41c | 244.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes | 48c | 222.22$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…a1debacked Yes | 41c | 220$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 58c | 219.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 40c | 201.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 150 | 29.3%44 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…272dbacked Yes | 41c | 188.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…45fbbacked No | 40c | 185.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 35c | 177.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…215dbacked No | 39c | 174.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…8b82backed No | 61c | 164.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…e080backed Yes | 63c | 159.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…7acebacked Yes | 64c | 157.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 41c | 152.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 62c | 149.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 39c | 148$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…33e2backed Yes | 73c | 137.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…7ababacked Yes | 35c | 129.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 10c | 126.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 38c | 124.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…1ac9backed Yes | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…6a95backed No | 52c | 115.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes | 43c | 101.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…d761backed Yes | 18c | 100.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…6718backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +215.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +130.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…4b08backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…c623backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…79e2backed No | 57c | 99.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 33c | 94.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b58ebacked No | 56c | 94.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…ae19backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 34c | 88.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 64c | 86.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked No | 60c | 83.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…3effbacked Yes | 61c | 82.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…d9e3backed Yes | 37c | 81.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…eec9backed Yes | 47c | 80.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9379…2e25backed No | 62c | 80.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 40c | 79.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…45babacked No | 45c | 71.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e1…b3c6backed No | 35c | 71.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…e59dbacked Yes | 55c | 67.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 43c | 67.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 38c | 65.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc3…5a00backed No | 62c | 65.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Yes | 69c | 57.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…638dbacked Yes | 61c | 56.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…1629backed Yes | 62c | 54.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…2a62backed Yes | 47c | 53.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73fb…9754backed Yes | 38c | 53.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked No | 69c | 50.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…8697backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 40c | 49.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?this page
- Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Democrat" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Eight Wars" or "Nine Wars" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Laggard" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Mineral" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Percent" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Please" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Sanction" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Suit" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?No won
- Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
- Will Trump say "Trillion" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.