CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Venom (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ff9d367be935d0568a039820978f6b85da1d4639d0a4e7b52eca336d037ffac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Venomof Imperial, Venom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Imperial | 77c | 24,754$19,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,080.68 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Venom | 22c | 20,133$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,605.91 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Imperial | 78c | 10,495$8,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,211.05 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Venom | 24c | 8,392$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.82 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Imperial | 76c | 8,054$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120.13 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Venom | 23c | 7,619$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,867.15 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Venom | 23c | 6,451$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.36 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Venom | 44c | 2,723$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.44 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Venom | 21c | 2,084$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.18 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Venom | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Imperial | 77c | 1,250$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.49 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Imperial | 77c | 1,153$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.09 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Imperial | 56c | 885.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Venom | 22c | 864.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.63 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Imperial | 64c | 783.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Imperial | 51c | 748.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Venom | 48c | 703.76$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.26 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Venom | 22c | 636.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.36 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Imperial | 78c | 531.11$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Imperial | 78c | 433.03$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Imperial | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…3987backed Imperial | 78c | 410.26$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed Imperial | 78c | 396.48$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Imperial | 70c | 333.15$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.97 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Venom | 61c | 308.56$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Venom | 22c | 254.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…d761backed Venom | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Imperial | 44c | 247$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Imperial | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Imperial | 62c | 230$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a3…911ebacked Imperial | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…38bdbacked Venom | 21c | 210.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Venom | 37c | 157.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…1a44backed Venom | 42c | 125.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Imperial | 50c | 110.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Imperial | 78c | 106.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dec…e054backed Venom | 24c | 105.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Imperial | 78c | 105$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Imperial | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Venom | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Venom | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed Venom | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Imperial | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Imperial | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Imperial | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Imperial | 78c | 33.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Imperial | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…93a6backed Imperial | 79c | 17.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.