F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ed8a3dda3e09445891f87fdfccdf50e87b93304515ced158db06e11ce9aef9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 35c | 5,956$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.43 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 65c | 1,495$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.1 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 66c | 555.59$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 32c | 555$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed No | 66c | 446.97$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 74c | 358.46$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…5e7fbacked Yes | 16c | 317$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed No | 73c | 309$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 70c | 269.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 66c | 238.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef4…dbcdbacked Yes | 26c | 194.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Yes | 30c | 192.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 25c | 151.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…31d6backed Yes | 33c | 119.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 115.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 70c | 106.43$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes | 38c | 101.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 74c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed No | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c1…642ebacked Yes | 26c | 77.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 26c | 75.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4d…caa6backed No | 68c | 73.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…b0eebacked Yes | 32c | 65.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…a018backed Yes | 32c | 61.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4f…9ef1backed No | 75c | 49.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…6edbbacked Yes | 33c | 46.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 39.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…f11dbacked No | 66c | 34.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…5533backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4c…421bbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…ce98backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…78a3backed No | 76c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…88a6backed No | 75c | 18.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…a5c5backed No | 75c | 18.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.