F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37162284486b1dc5e2d21875447133475b8abca08edcd48ed7f5db5cc51efb05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 9c | 4,644$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.6 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 28c | 1,211$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.95 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 47c | 567.11$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.88 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 23c | 432.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 78c | 279.4$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 29c | 250.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 21c | 223.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.53 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 60c | 219.71$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 73c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…a32abacked No | 12c | 144$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 70c | 142.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 134$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 36c | 111$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…446bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked No | 63c | 90.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 20c | 86.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 56c | 80.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 40c | 73.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 23c | 70.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f2…85babacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c1…642ebacked Yes | 78c | 59.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…c656backed Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 19c | 54.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…e878backed Yes | 38c | 52.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…a96cbacked Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 69c | 46.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054f…875fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828a…7e18backed No | 68c | 29.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed No | 65c | 22.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.