F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa0cb7655fbbdf1da66baf8c6be75f2c94a3b0f466b3ab148609cdeea31a0cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 28c | 5,726$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 58c | 2,289$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.98 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 3c | 1,666$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 3c | 1,666$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 60c | 1,478$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.86 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 40c | 1,100$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.58 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 45c | 1,099$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.09 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 54c | 809.56$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 73c | 487.2$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.37 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Yes | 43c | 466.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 58c | 335.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 45c | 310.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 43c | 308.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 285.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…5df3backed Yes | 45c | 272.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 35c | 253.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 43c | 249.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 59c | 244.79$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…dfaabacked Yes | 45c | 223.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 35c | 222$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 59c | 219.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…037cbacked No | 61c | 165.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed No | 15c | 139.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.58 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 17c | 130.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Yes | 80c | 125.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 40c | 106.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…73c8backed Yes | 39c | 101.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 39c | 94.71$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…a4cabacked Yes | 73c | 90.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 79c | 85.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…49acbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Yes | 35c | 69.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…b0eebacked Yes | 45c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…e878backed Yes | 36c | 64.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 77c | 64.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 23c | 59.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 60c | 55.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…aef5backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…b64dbacked Yes | 39c | 45.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f9…91d7backed Yes | 45c | 43.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 80c | 41.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8921…1707backed Yes | 45c | 40.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…5bc9backed Yes | 46c | 35.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…ca5bbacked No | 57c | 33.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5259…127bbacked No | 57c | 33.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16b…2c39backed Yes | 45c | 32.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…b1fdbacked No | 57c | 32.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…dae4backed No | 56c | 30.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9500…85eabacked Yes | 45c | 30.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af4…2e0cbacked No | 57c | 27.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d7…a381backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…763abacked No | 56c | 23.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…e209backed Yes | 74c | 14.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix Sprint?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.