World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee2999200d39e1a05433e59d93efaaa697a5847191dc70d9e8a5d81dafbf3db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 7,556$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 22c | 5,592$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,374.87 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 75c | 4,995$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 8c | 3,937$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.32 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 75c | 3,850$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.56 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 80c | 3,003$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.58 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 59c | 2,047$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…f360backed Yes | 27c | 1,650$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 22c | 1,563$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 39c | 1,493$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 76c | 1,288$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…2560backed No | 7c | 1,272$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 64c | 1,216$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 29c | 1,048$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.28 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 22c | 1,040$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.22 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 55c | 899.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 72c | 874$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked Yes | 26c | 830.95$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 785$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed Yes | 34c | 650$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 31c | 616.47$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.46 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 2c | 567$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 4c | 562.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe991…9969backed Yes | 62c | 478.16$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…9066backed Yes | 28c | 476.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 3c | 469.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 38c | 434.23$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 47c | 422.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…6237backed Yes | 49c | 420$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 65c | 384.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.74 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1908…9286backed Yes | 57c | 364.41$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 7c | 350$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 38c | 324.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 23c | 304.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…14f0backed Yes | 35c | 285.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +355.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 21c | 267.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.76 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 263.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 18c | 254.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1844…1d55backed No | 63c | 251.55$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed No | 41c | 244.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 57c | 203.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 67c | 200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 46c | 188$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 36c | 178.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9699…231abacked Yes | 50c | 159.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked Yes | 43c | 150$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 69c | 144.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 43c | 126$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked No | 44c | 114.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…b088backed No | 47c | 106.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 42c | 106.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 56c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…508abacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 55c | 86.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…e5bbbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 40c | 73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…b3b9backed No | 44c | 68.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5326…f3efbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 66.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…fa21backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 58.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 77c | 50.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed Yes | 79c | 43.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…7e81backed Yes | 59c | 42.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae50…0119backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…8812backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…cf3fbacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…5215backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…3335backed Yes | 35c | 36.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e0…61dbbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…c94fbacked No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…8ee7backed Yes | 65c | 27.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…9428backed No | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f4…b633backed Yes | 58c | 20.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.