Music · resolved market
Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x477f41ec9a6ff72ca847555b2173eccea3f9761e50c8e38dbdd4361423a2d381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad8f…b090backed Yes | 64c | 34,577$22,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,447.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebb…ea5cbacked No | 36c | 34,577$12,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,447.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…6119backed No | 46c | 29,433$13,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,539.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…d45fbacked Yes | 54c | 29,433$15,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,539.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd5…cd21backed Yes | 63c | 23,202$14,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,584.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…1d3fbacked No | 37c | 23,202$8,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,584.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 31c | 23,137$7,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,182.28 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Yes | 73c | 5,095$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 66c | 4,370$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 26c | 3,721$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.5 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 59c | 3,621$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.61 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Yes | 76c | 2,691$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…d84bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,622$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 26c | 1,541$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.48 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,416$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.59 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,120$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.24 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 66c | 1,114$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…a093backed Yes | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 23c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 68c | 990.16$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.61 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…03cebacked No | 43c | 895$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 17c | 809.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144d…f0f2backed Yes | 58c | 775$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…1c30backed Yes | 58c | 765$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…088dbacked Yes | 68c | 736.92$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…2b47backed No | 42c | 665$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked No | 43c | 635$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…37adbacked No | 42c | 635$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…b88ebacked Yes | 57c | 605$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 66c | 500.39$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 30c | 499.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…5aacbacked Yes | 59c | 461.86$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 21c | 458.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Yes | 79c | 434.95$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 32c | 416.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 72c | 402.74$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 32c | 400$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b0…cdd9backed Yes | 57c | 345$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04f3backed Yes | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed Yes | 67c | 297.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 45c | 288.09$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 23c | 221$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…2e13backed Yes | 58c | 220$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked No | 21c | 217.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 78c | 211$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed No | 24c | 204.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcafb…05f0backed Yes | 64c | 181.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 79c | 179.64$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed Yes | 75c | 178.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 18c | 170.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed Yes | 76c | 163.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 160.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c79…eb42backed No | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9500…ebbcbacked No | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…834fbacked Yes | 58c | 155$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…3888backed No | 42c | 145$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…15edbacked No | 43c | 145$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 57c | 135.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 25c | 133.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked No | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed Yes | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 47c | 121.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…e902backed No | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 19c | 118.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…a1fcbacked Yes | 65c | 113$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 29c | 112.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 33c | 107.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…2b17backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f67…15c4backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb942…dd9cbacked Yes | 56c | 98.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8449…80aebacked No | 47c | 98.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 77c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…d203backed No | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 75c | 93.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 54c | 91.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 59c | 88.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 42c | 82.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 36c | 81.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 77c | 81.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 55c | 78.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 64c | 77.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 55c | 75.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed No | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 70.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked No | 23c | 69.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf701…5d7abacked Yes | 77c | 69.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked Yes | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 64c | 64.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 66c | 60.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…3a3abacked Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3985…cfebbacked Yes | 75c | 54.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed No | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…c1c2backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.