Music · resolved market
Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c43eb7f018453deed0b1312a73f9b4e1ff43e38b48eeda6c5e14246156b6dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 20c | 6,563$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732a…55d3backed Yes | 79c | 5,176$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 73c | 4,954$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.48 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 33c | 2,309$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.17 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 16c | 1,318$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed No | 48c | 1,200$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.21 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 40c | 1,100$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 36c | 1,096$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.53 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Yes | 60c | 617.04$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…efe1backed No | 18c | 591.9$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed No | 15c | 562.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +169%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 15c | 550$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.69 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 52c | 510.7$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed No | 44c | 408.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 37c | 402.34$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.05 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Yes | 78c | 397.44$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 17c | 342.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1240…3a3fbacked Yes | 68c | 270.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 34c | 244.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed No | 21c | 241.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 58c | 224.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 57c | 211$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 41c | 202.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6835backed No | 47c | 192.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242b…de00backed No | 33c | 184.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 38c | 170$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 15c | 156.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 38c | 150.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…bf46backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…cb79backed Yes | 63c | 150$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 29c | 140.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 52c | 122.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 43c | 94.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 19c | 92.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked No | 12c | 85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 33c | 83.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 50c | 82.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 29c | 72.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba5…4f56backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…4c12backed Yes | 22c | 59.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed Yes | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…c506backed Yes | 59c | 49.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +109%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33ce…c11abacked No | 42c | 47.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 41c | 42.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…c633backed No | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 47c | 41.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e0…19b9backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a963backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…df35backed Yes | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…9678backed Yes | 62c | 35.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d1…3377backed No | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…9f82backed Yes | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 76c | 26.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…d2d4backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bf…2c05backed Yes | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe360…76f8backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?this page
- Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Australia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Denmark qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Finland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Greece qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Latvia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Lithuania qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Luxembourg qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Malta qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes won
- Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
- Will Serbia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.